Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
| Money | TNTC +190 MORE -222 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +14 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -2.9 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -4.8 (-9.2) | 135.7 (-9.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -3.8 (-10.2) | 141.4 (-15.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -3.6 (-10.4) | 143.0 (-17.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -4.2 (-9.8) | 139.0 (-13.0) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | MORE 73 – 66 TNTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 TNTC |
| Jan 31, 2025 | TNTC 72 – 64 MORE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TNTC 74 – 55 MORE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORE 67 – 60 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 64.4 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#250) | 1.7 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#322) | 1.36 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#308) | 1.58 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#319) | 0.563 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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