Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +3 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -7.9 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (-43.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -4.6 (+7.6) | 149.4 (-36.4) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -6.0 (+9.0) | 153.8 (-40.8) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -6.2 (+9.2) | 154.0 (-41.0) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -6.9 (+9.9) | 153.1 (-40.1) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | HOW 78 – 61 SCST |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOW 85 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCST 58 – 57 HOW |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SCST 79 – 69 HOW |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SCST 89 – 66 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 16-13 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#332) | -0.3 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#293) | -1.07 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#313) | -1.04 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#321) | 0.435 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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