Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +6 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -8.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (+17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -6.9 (-0.9) | 155.6 (+18.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -7.9 (-1.9) | 153.9 (+20.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -7.2 (-1.2) | 155.8 (+18.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -7.2 (-1.2) | 156.3 (+17.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | EWU 84 – 79 WEB |
| Feb 14, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 WEB |
| Jan 16, 2026 | WEB 91 – 80 EWU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WEB 66 – 64 EWU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | EWU 72 – 49 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-3 |
| Away | 8-5 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#128) | -2.5 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#97) | -0.57 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#105) | -0.77 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#125) | 0.468 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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