Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -18.3 (-23.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -13.7 (-18.7) | 134.9 (+10.1) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -14.3 (-19.3) | 138.6 (+6.4) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -14.5 (-19.5) | 137.7 (+7.3) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -14.0 (-19.0) | 136.0 (+9.0) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BU 78 – 63 HC |
| Feb 3, 2026 | BU 72 – 64 HC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HC 72 – 52 BU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | BU 69 – 59 HC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BU 94 – 84 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#179) | -15.6 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#194) | -3.23 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#201) | -4.11 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#194) | 0.332 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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