Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | WYO +105 CSU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +6 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -3.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -2.4 (+3.6) | 141.9 (+20.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -3.7 (+2.3) | 146.8 (+15.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -3.7 (+2.3) | 145.3 (+16.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -4.1 (+1.9) | 144.8 (+17.2) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CSU 79 – 68 WYO |
| Feb 1, 2026 | WYO 68 – 57 CSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CSU 88 – 53 WYO |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CSU 79 – 63 WYO |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CSU 70 – 62 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 25-6 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-1 |
| Away | 8-5 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#47) | 9.7 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#23) | 2.59 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.14 (#26) | 2.90 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#25) | 0.611 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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