Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -3.7 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -2.9 (+5.9) | 149.7 (+5.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -4.3 (+7.3) | 150.5 (+4.5) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -3.9 (+6.9) | 152.4 (+2.6) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -4.3 (+7.3) | 152.6 (+2.4) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCO 77 – 65 PRST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | PRST 76 – 73 UNCO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PRST 82 – 71 UNCO |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UNCO 72 – 69 PRST |
| Feb 16, 2024 | PRST 82 – 72 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#304) | -1.4 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.53 (#339) | 0.29 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#326) | 0.15 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#341) | 0.547 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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