Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MER +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -5.1 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -4.2 (+9.2) | 138.2 (-9.2) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -3.3 (+8.3) | 141.2 (-12.2) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -3.5 (+8.5) | 140.7 (-11.7) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -4.4 (+9.4) | 139.7 (-10.7) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | WOF 80 – 77 MER |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MER 109 – 97 WOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WOF 77 – 66 MER |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WOF 69 – 49 MER |
| Feb 15, 2024 | WOF 73 – 60 MER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MER | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#234) | 4.9 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#167) | 0.40 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#184) | 0.57 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#164) | 0.504 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MER | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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