Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +22 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -16.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -11.0 (+11.0) | 146.0 (-6.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -12.5 (+9.5) | 148.6 (-8.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -13.8 (+8.2) | 147.5 (-7.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -13.8 (+8.2) | 150.0 (-10.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SCU 76 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCU 71 – 56 PAC |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SCU 85 – 69 PAC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SCU 97 – 66 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SCU 83 – 49 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 3-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#81) | -6.4 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#83) | -1.62 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#79) | -1.97 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#75) | 0.401 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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