And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–10 on winners spread MAE 8.6 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Prairie View A&M @ Florida A&M +7.6 142.5 77% 66–75 ✓
Fairfield @ Sacred Heart +3.8 143.3 68% 58–71 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's -0.9 135.2 46% 58–51 ✓
UAlbany @ Bryant +9.8 151.8 83% 78–91 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Colorado +4.9 144.0 70% 45–72 ✓
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +5.7 137.8 74% 64–61 ✗
Nicholls @ Lamar -0.2 135.7 51% 55–58 ✗
UCF @ Utah +1.8 154.6 56% 87–72 ✗
Idaho @ Montana +5.7 146.0 75% 55–78 ✓
Richmond @ Davidson +5.0 133.2 73% 65–69 ✓
Virginia @ Georgia Tech +0.4 131.8 56% 60–66 ✓
Cincinnati @ Iowa State +8.1 135.8 79% 56–76 ✓
Charlotte @ Rice +3.0 139.3 62% 64–61 ✗
South Carolina @ Arkansas +5.8 141.2 75% 68–72 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +6.5 129.0 75% 65–62 ✗
Wyoming @ San José State +1.3 137.4 59% 61–66 ✓
Fordham @ Rhode Island +6.6 152.4 75% 88–71 ✗
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +9.2 151.5 83% 56–76 ✓
Colorado @ West Virginia +5.3 128.4 73% 67–60 ✗
Northwestern @ Minnesota -4.2 129.3 37% 72–64 ✓
Texas @ Vanderbilt +0.5 153.2 54% 79–72 ✗
Butler @ Providence -2.0 145.3 41% 75–69 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +13.0 140.0 85% 71–86 ✓
La Salle @ Massachusetts -0.8 141.7 48% 78–71 ✓
Lamar @ McNeese +13.2 134.4 88% 54–63 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State +14.4 140.3 89% 70–77 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +5.0 141.0 72% 64–78 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State +4.4 157.1 67% 77–70 ✗
UTEP @ Liberty +9.5 138.7 83% 60–81 ✓
DePaul @ Georgetown +3.3 142.1 63% 71–67 ✗
LSU @ Mississippi State +7.9 149.4 76% 62–91 ✓
Navy @ American University +3.5 134.7 65% 52–74 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +13.9 131.4 87% 59–68 ✓
Kansas State @ Baylor +7.0 134.5 76% 56–70 ✓
California @ Stanford +3.5 143.7 65% 73–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.