I want the bomb, I want the P-Funk, I want my funk uncut. "P-Funk (Wants to Get Funked Up)" - Parliament
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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41–11 on winners spread MAE 9.4 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee State @ Chattanooga +8.6 148.2 78% 78–85 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Stonehill +6.9 132.5 74% 65–67 ✓
New Hampshire @ Columbia +17.7 140.4 90% 57–83 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Buffalo +0.5 155.8 51% 81–82 ✓
Green Bay @ Ohio State +23.6 154.4 91% 69–102 ✓
Cornell @ Iona +2.5 147.2 58% 84–68 ✗
Missouri State @ Boston College +0.5 141.7 58% 74–76 ✓
Le Moyne @ UT Rio Grande Valley +12.6 148.0 87% 77–97 ✓
Utah Tech @ Montana +8.6 145.5 79% 66–69 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Arkansas +22.5 142.9 91% 35–109 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Indiana +4.8 151.5 71% 77–87 ✓
Oregon State @ North Texas +4.8 131.3 71% 55–58 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Saint Louis +1.7 140.8 58% 67–81 ✓
UTSA @ Troy +12.7 143.3 87% 72–86 ✓
Incarnate Word @ South Alabama +5.7 137.9 73% 63–84 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Houston Christian -1.2 130.1 40% 74–73 ✓
Central Michigan @ Minnesota +2.7 125.1 55% 65–68 ✓
McNeese @ Liberty +4.2 130.7 73% 58–62 ✓
Xavier @ South Carolina -0.0 143.3 49% 75–66 ✓
UTEP @ San José State -3.4 135.0 33% 65–71 ✗
Auburn @ Iowa State -5.3 144.0 27% 83–81 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Southern Miss -2.8 141.6 40% 82–74 ✓
Norfolk State @ UC Davis +6.1 143.1 73% 76–55 ✗
Little Rock @ Illinois +16.7 144.0 87% 34–92 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Long Beach State -7.8 132.6 25% 71–48 ✓
Dayton @ North Carolina +7.8 157.5 81% 90–92 ✓
Drexel @ Chicago State -12.3 138.4 16% 83–71 ✓
Jacksonville @ Siena -3.5 141.1 39% 75–64 ✓
Duquesne @ Old Dominion -4.7 136.9 30% 67–54 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Southern Illinois -1.0 143.1 49% 77–72 ✓
Tulsa @ Detroit Mercy +2.2 144.2 62% 63–44 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Gardner-Webb +6.0 138.4 77% 69–73 ✓
San Francisco @ Fordham -6.5 135.4 27% 85–64 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Mercer -2.8 148.8 43% 75–72 ✓
Hampton @ High Point +3.3 130.8 68% 73–76 ✓
Creighton @ San Diego State -0.4 139.7 49% 53–71 ✗
Georgia State @ Austin Peay +2.5 141.4 65% 50–62 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Richmond -7.1 141.7 23% 65–62 ✓
North Dakota @ Bethune-Cookman +0.0 134.6 50% 67–79 ✓
UConn @ Colorado -3.7 144.0 37% 72–73 ✗
Clemson @ Penn State +3.4 149.3 71% 75–67 ✗
Denver @ Utah Tech -0.9 142.3 40% 54–68 ✗
Bryant @ Tennessee State -5.9 154.3 26% 97–85 ✓
West Georgia @ Utah Valley +15.6 140.5 90% 74–77 ✓
Texas A&M @ Oregon -0.2 141.5 57% 70–80 ✗
South Dakota State @ Missouri State -0.7 150.0 47% 75–55 ✓
UT Arlington @ Murray State +9.2 150.2 85% 66–79 ✓
Memphis @ Michigan State -1.1 146.9 44% 71–63 ✓
NJIT @ Cleveland State +11.5 130.4 87% 53–56 ✓
Wyoming @ Tulane +4.3 140.8 71% 64–63 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Kentucky +22.5 155.8 90% 68–87 ✓
Radford @ Purdue Fort Wayne +5.7 152.9 77% 69–56 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.