Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -900 NJIT +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +3 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -16.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -10.9 (-7.9) | 130.7 (-21.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -13.2 (-10.2) | 129.9 (-20.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -11.5 (-8.5) | 130.4 (-21.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -12.3 (-9.3) | 130.7 (-21.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 3-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 4-9 |
| Away | 7-7 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#300) | -17.3 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#177) | -4.47 (#364) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#171) | -6.64 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#106) | 0.266 (#364) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 24.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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