Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -600 QUIN +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +14 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -1.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -2.2 (+11.8) | 146.2 (+1.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -2.7 (+11.3) | 142.7 (+5.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -1.7 (+12.3) | 140.8 (+7.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -1.9 (+12.1) | 145.8 (+2.2) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#310) | -3.9 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#299) | 0.11 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#299) | -0.29 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#324) | 0.480 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 24.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 58.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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