Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | PSU -105 CLEM -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +8 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | PSU -6.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -2.7 (-10.7) | 146.4 (-4.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -2.8 (-10.8) | 150.1 (-8.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -3.4 (-11.4) | 149.3 (-7.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -2.0 (-10.0) | 146.6 (-4.6) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | CLEM 101 – 94 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 18-2 |
| Home | 11-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 17.9 (#11) | 11.0 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#33) | 2.13 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#48) | 3.59 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#84) | 0.614 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.4% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.8% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.