Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ORE +150 TA&M -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -3.6 (+13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -1.2 (+11.2) | 142.9 (+7.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -1.5 (+11.5) | 142.0 (+8.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -0.2 (+10.2) | 141.5 (+8.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -0.4 (+10.4) | 140.0 (+10.0) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 19, 2022 | TA&M 75 – 60 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#55) | 12.4 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#14) | 1.34 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.18 (#23) | 2.49 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.679 (#15) | 0.523 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 44.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 17.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 46.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 42.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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