Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -190 ORE +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +15 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -4.4 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -5.5 (+9.5) | 142.0 (-7.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -6.3 (+8.7) | 144.0 (-9.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -7.3 (+7.7) | 145.3 (-10.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -6.7 (+8.3) | 144.2 (-9.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | ORE 80 – 70 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-13 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 16-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#51) | 8.3 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#37) | 1.47 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#40) | 1.86 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#70) | 0.562 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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