Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -750 UTU +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -12.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -9.1 (-6.1) | 147.6 (-12.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -9.0 (-6.0) | 146.3 (-11.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -8.6 (-5.6) | 145.5 (-10.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -9.6 (-6.6) | 144.6 (-9.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 2-14 |
| Home | 15-1 | 5-8 |
| Away | 7-8 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#234) | -9.7 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#154) | -2.33 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#145) | -3.36 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#53) | 0.409 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 34.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 40.6% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.9% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.