Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU +250 UNCG -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +23 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCG -11.2 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -8.6 (-14.4) | 132.2 (-13.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -8.8 (-14.2) | 132.7 (-13.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -7.8 (-15.2) | 132.6 (-13.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -9.2 (-13.8) | 133.0 (-14.0) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 13-5 |
| Home | 3-11 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#313) | 2.8 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.21 (#363) | -0.62 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.95 (#360) | -0.85 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#320) | 0.526 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 36.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.