Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SDSU +175 CREI -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +18 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -2.0 (+20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -2.5 (+20.5) | 139.6 (-15.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -0.9 (+18.9) | 144.3 (-20.3) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -1.9 (+19.9) | 140.4 (-16.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -1.8 (+19.8) | 140.4 (-16.4) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 26, 2023 | SDSU 57 – 56 CREI |
| Mar 17, 2022 | CREI 72 – 69 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#105) | 6.2 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#113) | 0.32 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#99) | 0.67 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.667 (#18) | 0.468 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 40.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.9% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 13.5% |
Game Analysis
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