Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -2.0 Away covered |
| Money | SDSU -115 CREI -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +3 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | SDSU -2.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.4 (+22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -2.0 (-5.0) | 125.2 (+15.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SDSU -2.2 (-5.2) | 124.3 (+16.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SDSU -1.6 (-4.6) | 123.3 (+17.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -1.5 (-4.5) | 122.5 (+18.5) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | SDSU 71 – 53 CREI |
| Mar 26, 2023 | SDSU 57 – 56 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 13-4 | 12-7 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.1 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#27) | 9.3 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#27) | 2.49 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#24) | 2.98 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#20) | 0.566 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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