Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SDSU +125 CREI -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +1 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -1.3 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -0.6 (+1.6) | 136.2 (-23.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -0.7 (+1.7) | 135.3 (-22.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -1.4 (+2.4) | 136.5 (-23.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -0.8 (+1.8) | 134.2 (-21.2) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | SDSU 71 – 53 CREI |
| Mar 17, 2022 | CREI 72 – 69 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 8-2 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 9-4 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#15) | 15.3 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#9) | 2.14 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.26 (#13) | 2.86 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#2) | 0.590 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.