Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -20000 GB +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +33 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -27.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -26.3 (+6.7) | 152.0 (+19.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -26.0 (+7.0) | 153.1 (+17.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -23.6 (+9.4) | 154.4 (+16.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -24.4 (+8.6) | 158.5 (+12.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 2-18 |
| Home | 11-6 | 3-11 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 18.8 (#9) | -2.1 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#67) | -0.59 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#77) | -0.75 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#74) | 0.456 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 43.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.1% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 17.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.8% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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