In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–11 on winners spread MAE 8.8 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Prairie View A&M @ Florida A&M +5.8 142.2 74% 66–75 ✓
Fairfield @ Sacred Heart +3.0 145.1 69% 58–71 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's -1.6 132.5 43% 58–51 ✓
UAlbany @ Bryant +9.3 152.8 82% 78–91 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Colorado +3.7 145.8 74% 45–72 ✓
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +5.5 140.4 70% 64–61 ✗
Nicholls @ Lamar -0.4 135.2 48% 55–58 ✗
UCF @ Utah +2.2 158.6 53% 87–72 ✗
Idaho @ Montana +5.7 146.5 78% 55–78 ✓
Richmond @ Davidson +5.6 136.2 71% 65–69 ✓
Virginia @ Georgia Tech -0.2 133.7 52% 60–66 ✗
Cincinnati @ Iowa State +7.0 137.3 82% 56–76 ✓
Charlotte @ Rice +2.2 140.1 61% 64–61 ✗
South Carolina @ Arkansas +5.5 142.7 74% 68–72 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +6.8 129.7 70% 65–62 ✗
Wyoming @ San José State +2.1 137.3 63% 61–66 ✓
Fordham @ Rhode Island +6.3 155.0 74% 88–71 ✗
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +9.4 153.4 80% 56–76 ✓
Colorado @ West Virginia +4.9 129.9 70% 67–60 ✗
Northwestern @ Minnesota -4.4 129.6 33% 72–64 ✓
Texas @ Vanderbilt +0.9 153.2 46% 79–72 ✗
Butler @ Providence -2.3 145.9 35% 75–69 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +12.2 141.5 85% 71–86 ✓
La Salle @ Massachusetts -0.2 144.6 45% 78–71 ✓
Lamar @ McNeese +13.4 134.6 87% 54–63 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State +14.3 139.2 89% 70–77 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +4.5 141.9 70% 64–78 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State +4.9 158.3 64% 77–70 ✗
UTEP @ Liberty +9.9 138.5 81% 60–81 ✓
DePaul @ Georgetown +3.4 143.9 64% 71–67 ✗
LSU @ Mississippi State +7.6 150.0 79% 62–91 ✓
Navy @ American University +3.1 135.1 66% 52–74 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +12.4 131.5 87% 59–68 ✓
Kansas State @ Baylor +6.6 135.2 77% 56–70 ✓
California @ Stanford +3.3 142.9 66% 73–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.