In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–8 on winners spread MAE 6.9 21 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Incarnate Word @ Nicholls +3.3 138.8 71% 70–74 ✓
Pepperdine @ Saint Mary's +17.6 133.0 90% 59–74 ✓
Charleston @ UNC Wilmington +2.5 145.6 66% 67–68 ✓
Idaho @ Portland State +2.8 140.4 66% 80–70 ✗
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State +2.1 139.6 60% 56–54 ✗
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +10.5 152.7 83% 76–85 ✓
Cincinnati @ Oklahoma State -5.2 138.9 40% 87–68 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Grambling +5.7 132.9 80% 56–73 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame -4.2 143.8 38% 54–55 ✗
Colorado @ TCU +1.4 132.2 59% 69–67 ✗
Utah Tech @ Southern Utah -0.1 140.5 46% 72–65 ✓
California @ Virginia Tech -1.4 145.9 38% 82–73 ✓
Siena @ Rider -2.0 140.4 40% 76–78 ✗
Sam Houston @ UTEP +1.4 146.1 62% 65–79 ✓
Delaware @ UNC Wilmington +7.8 148.3 83% 72–76 ✓
Maine @ Vermont +0.6 131.3 60% 57–42 ✗
Northwestern State @ McNeese +15.0 132.2 88% 64–83 ✓
Saint Francis @ Central Connecticut +11.7 134.0 85% 46–43 ✗
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris +3.7 144.9 70% 78–89 ✓
Arizona State @ Kansas State +0.5 142.5 56% 66–71 ✓
Syracuse @ Florida State +2.6 150.8 65% 66–62 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.