Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–14 on winners spread MAE 9.3 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee State @ Chattanooga +8.4 149.0 78% 78–85 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Stonehill +8.2 135.4 79% 65–67 ✓
New Hampshire @ Columbia +20.2 137.4 89% 57–83 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Buffalo +1.5 157.8 59% 81–82 ✓
Green Bay @ Ohio State +26.3 152.0 90% 69–102 ✓
Cornell @ Iona +1.7 150.3 52% 84–68 ✗
Missouri State @ Boston College -0.1 146.1 59% 74–76 ✗
Le Moyne @ UT Rio Grande Valley +12.6 148.9 86% 77–97 ✓
Utah Tech @ Montana +9.1 147.6 78% 66–69 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Arkansas +30.8 143.2 90% 35–109 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Indiana +6.3 152.8 73% 77–87 ✓
Oregon State @ North Texas +4.6 125.3 72% 55–58 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Saint Louis +2.2 146.2 63% 67–81 ✓
UTSA @ Troy +13.2 145.0 85% 72–86 ✓
Incarnate Word @ South Alabama +6.1 137.3 77% 63–84 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Houston Christian +0.5 130.2 44% 74–73 ✗
Central Michigan @ Minnesota +3.2 123.7 62% 65–68 ✓
McNeese @ Liberty +1.8 130.6 64% 58–62 ✓
Xavier @ South Carolina -0.3 145.6 47% 75–66 ✓
UTEP @ San José State -3.5 136.4 58% 65–71 ✗
Auburn @ Iowa State -4.6 146.2 18% 83–81 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Southern Miss -2.7 143.3 34% 82–74 ✓
Norfolk State @ UC Davis +5.9 144.5 73% 76–55 ✗
Little Rock @ Illinois +18.9 147.5 87% 34–92 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Long Beach State -8.6 132.2 20% 71–48 ✓
Dayton @ North Carolina +9.9 154.1 70% 90–92 ✓
Drexel @ Chicago State -13.3 139.8 16% 83–71 ✓
Jacksonville @ Siena -3.2 141.8 32% 75–64 ✓
Duquesne @ Old Dominion -5.5 136.8 23% 67–54 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Southern Illinois -1.1 144.6 47% 77–72 ✓
Tulsa @ Detroit Mercy +1.3 148.3 55% 63–44 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Gardner-Webb +5.5 137.8 70% 69–73 ✓
San Francisco @ Fordham -7.4 138.7 21% 85–64 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Mercer -4.4 148.7 32% 75–72 ✓
Hampton @ High Point +2.1 130.5 69% 73–76 ✓
Creighton @ San Diego State +0.1 140.6 44% 53–71 ✓
Georgia State @ Austin Peay +3.2 144.0 62% 50–62 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Richmond -8.0 145.3 26% 65–62 ✓
North Dakota @ Bethune-Cookman -1.7 137.7 48% 67–79 ✗
UConn @ Colorado -4.2 145.5 42% 72–73 ✗
Clemson @ Penn State +2.7 146.4 60% 75–67 ✗
Denver @ Utah Tech -0.6 145.3 45% 54–68 ✗
Bryant @ Tennessee State -5.8 159.0 22% 97–85 ✓
West Georgia @ Utah Valley +19.6 142.3 90% 74–77 ✓
Texas A&M @ Oregon -1.2 142.9 49% 70–80 ✗
South Dakota State @ Missouri State -1.2 152.4 44% 75–55 ✓
UT Arlington @ Murray State +11.8 148.1 85% 66–79 ✓
Memphis @ Michigan State +0.9 147.9 48% 71–63 ✗
NJIT @ Cleveland State +10.9 130.7 86% 53–56 ✓
Wyoming @ Tulane +6.5 143.6 76% 64–63 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Kentucky +24.8 157.9 90% 68–87 ✓
Radford @ Purdue Fort Wayne +4.9 151.6 62% 69–56 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.