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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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1–0 on winners spread MAE 2.0 37 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Fresno State @ Kent State	—	—	—	69–79	—
Stetson @ UNLV	—	—	—	55–71	—
Bucknell @ Niagara	—	—	—	73–64	—
UAlbany @ Columbia	—	—	—	78–75	—
Saint Francis @ Santa Clara	—	—	—	59–82	—
Louisiana @ Toledo	—	—	—	78–87	—
Siena @ Richmond	—	—	—	48–90	—
Eastern Illinois @ Loyola Chicago	—	—	—	65–89	—
Utah State @ Bradley	—	—	—	66–72	—
Omaha @ North Texas	—	—	—	64–75	—
Illinois State @ Saint Louis	—	—	—	71–80	—
Holy Cross @ Georgetown	—	—	—	68–67	—
Cal Poly @ Wyoming	—	—	—	66–80	—
New Mexico State @ UC Irvine	—	—	—	74–91	—
Long Beach State @ DePaul	—	—	—	77–73	—
San Diego @ UC San Diego	—	—	—	63–69	—
Bryant @ Rutgers	—	—	—	57–66	—
Eastern Washington @ Cincinnati	+14.0	145.6	89%	73–85	✓
Maryland @ UAB	—	—	—	63–66	—
Air Force @ Delaware	—	—	—	57–65	—
Idaho State @ Iowa State	—	—	—	55–86	—
Lehigh @ North Carolina	—	—	—	68–90	—
San José State @ Texas Tech	—	—	—	42–56	—
Elon @ North Dakota	—	—	—	68–85	—
East Texas A&M @ Purdue Fort Wayne	—	—	—	64–86	—
Sam Houston @ Oklahoma State	—	—	—	70–85	—
Davidson @ Clemson	—	—	—	65–68	—
San Francisco @ Boise State	—	—	—	58–63	—
Howard @ James Madison	—	—	—	86–107	—
Merrimack @ Maine	—	—	—	71–65	—
Lafayette @ Pepperdine	—	—	—	53–76	—
Chicago State @ Southern Indiana	—	—	—	78–67	—
Gardner-Webb @ Baylor	—	—	—	62–77	—
North Carolina Central @ Georgia	—	—	—	54–64	—
UC Riverside @ Portland	—	—	—	65–76	—
Northern Arizona @ Grand Canyon	—	—	—	55–89	—
Yale @ Loyola Marymount	—	—	—	83–80	—

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.