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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
15–13 on winners
spread MAE 9.7
28 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+1.8 | 128.1 | 55% | 56–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.9 | 136.2 | 72% | 77–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.8 | 135.9 | 66% | 73–68 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.5 | 146.8 | 64% | 69–80 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.3 | 128.1 | 46% | 58–59 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.8 | 138.3 | 61% | 52–61 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.3 | 155.1 | 77% | 78–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.5 | 146.1 | 50% | 75–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.1 | 138.8 | 52% | 80–68 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.1 | 140.3 | 73% | 87–82 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.2 | 133.1 | 53% | 83–90 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.3 | 142.4 | 55% | 68–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.2 | 128.4 | 76% | 77–66 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.6 | 149.5 | 84% | 80–111 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.0 | 127.8 | 77% | 67–64 | ✗ |
|
|
-1.1 | 138.6 | 46% | 49–68 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.8 | 129.4 | 82% | 62–74 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.9 | 145.4 | 40% | 59–64 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.7 | 123.1 | 79% | 52–80 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.7 | 134.6 | 39% | 55–52 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.7 | 133.1 | 86% | 64–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.8 | 134.8 | 68% | 67–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.2 | 146.7 | 63% | 63–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.4 | 131.5 | 65% | 70–69 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.2 | 127.3 | 57% | 71–50 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.3 | 135.6 | 67% | 62–72 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.5 | 136.8 | 46% | 70–56 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.7 | 141.4 | 46% | 51–46 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.