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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–5 on winners
spread MAE 10.8
13 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rider
@
Canisius
|
+4.8 | 140.9 | 69% | 78–76 | ✗ |
App State
@
Georgia State
|
+3.4 | 142.1 | 62% | 80–73 | ✗ |
Mercer
@
UNC Greensboro
|
+2.3 | 140.1 | 66% | 61–69 | ✓ |
Saint Mary's
@
Gonzaga
|
+14.4 | 140.0 | 85% | 55–78 | ✓ |
Drexel
@
Northeastern
|
-1.0 | 129.4 | 47% | 74–67 | ✓ |
Northern Kentucky
@
Oakland
|
-2.7 | 147.5 | 41% | 58–69 | ✗ |
North Dakota State
@
South Dakota
|
-1.0 | 138.2 | 47% | 79–75 | ✓ |
Pepperdine
@
BYU
|
+8.0 | 147.4 | 79% | 77–82 | ✓ |
Miami
@
Pittsburgh
|
+4.7 | 136.6 | 68% | 79–73 | ✗ |
Boston College
@
Duke
|
+7.1 | 150.1 | 76% | 51–86 | ✓ |
Iona
@
Quinnipiac
|
-4.9 | 141.8 | 31% | 72–48 | ✓ |
McNeese
@
SE Louisiana
|
+1.3 | 140.5 | 60% | 68–71 | ✓ |
Long Beach State
@
Cal State Northridge
|
+2.0 | 151.2 | 64% | 85–63 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.