The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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23–6 on winners spread MAE 7.7 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgetown @ UConn +13.0 136.6 87% 51–67 ✓
Southern @ Florida A&M -0.7 141.8 43% 73–70 ✓
UCLA @ Michigan State +7.0 138.9 74% 88–84 ✗
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +7.1 131.9 78% 65–67 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine +4.8 144.9 71% 78–93 ✓
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central +3.8 131.6 64% 53–59 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +5.7 147.5 74% 66–79 ✓
Clemson @ Duke +15.4 134.2 87% 61–73 ✓
Kansas @ Houston +5.4 132.2 72% 47–69 ✓
Oklahoma @ Arkansas +8.3 161.9 78% 79–82 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +5.5 137.3 74% 72–86 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +4.4 149.3 69% 63–78 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State -0.3 147.9 50% 62–64 ✗
Cornell @ Yale +9.8 156.1 81% 76–88 ✓
Vermont @ UMBC +4.8 136.9 68% 59–74 ✓
Wisconsin @ Michigan +13.5 158.3 86% 65–68 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Florida +7.7 161.0 76% 91–74 ✗
Dayton @ Saint Louis +7.5 143.2 79% 70–69 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Howard +11.8 140.8 86% 63–70 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Harvard -0.4 132.0 53% 62–60 ✓
Charlotte @ South Florida +12.1 149.5 86% 64–86 ✓
Ole Miss @ Arkansas +9.5 155.6 84% 90–93 ✓
Purdue @ UCLA -2.0 143.0 42% 73–66 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ VCU +8.9 140.0 83% 64–77 ✓
Tulsa @ Wichita State -0.6 150.1 44% 68–81 ✗
San Diego State @ Utah State +3.2 146.8 64% 62–73 ✓
Houston @ Arizona +7.1 137.3 72% 74–79 ✓
UConn @ St. John's +2.7 137.4 57% 52–72 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Southern +1.5 149.4 56% 72–66 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.