They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–7 on winners spread MAE 8.7 28 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina @ Syracuse -5.4 150.4 30% 79–86 ✗
Iowa State @ Cincinnati -1.3 137.2 44% 68–59 ✓
Michigan @ Illinois +12.2 157.0 87% 68–97 ✓
Duquesne @ Dayton +10.5 134.3 84% 59–75 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Virginia +3.9 122.2 68% 74–63 ✗
Illinois State @ Indiana State +16.5 141.4 89% 80–67 ✗
St. John's @ Providence +2.4 143.9 62% 72–75 ✓
Texas A&M @ Vanderbilt -10.7 134.8 16% 73–74 ✗
George Washington @ George Mason +9.3 148.6 82% 67–90 ✓
La Salle @ Davidson +9.4 140.9 83% 56–71 ✓
Drake @ Evansville -6.1 144.9 25% 78–75 ✓
LSU @ Florida +9.5 160.2 83% 80–82 ✓
Buffalo @ Northern Illinois +9.3 148.3 83% 68–72 ✓
Georgetown @ Creighton +16.9 153.5 90% 72–94 ✓
Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech -3.7 135.5 34% 50–70 ✗
Oklahoma @ Baylor +5.7 147.2 72% 62–79 ✓
UCF @ BYU +11.0 139.8 86% 88–90 ✓
Ohio State @ Wisconsin +7.6 143.6 76% 54–62 ✓
Ole Miss @ Kentucky +6.6 159.6 75% 63–75 ✓
Louisville @ Boston College +9.7 149.0 83% 77–89 ✓
Florida State @ Virginia Tech +5.5 147.1 72% 75–83 ✓
Colorado State @ San Diego State +4.2 140.8 68% 55–71 ✓
Air Force @ San José State +2.2 136.7 63% 66–73 ✓
New Mexico @ Nevada +2.4 149.6 61% 83–82 ✗
Boston University @ Army -0.9 122.8 43% 50–65 ✗
Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville +9.5 148.5 84% 69–71 ✓
Michigan State @ Penn State -2.2 141.1 39% 80–72 ✓
Robert Morris @ Youngstown State +10.7 150.7 87% 77–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.