Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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17–13 on winners spread MAE 11.0 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina @ Florida +21.0 151.5 91% 62–76 ✓
North Carolina @ NC State +2.6 157.4 66% 58–82 ✓
Saint Louis @ Rhode Island -11.4 149.7 17% 76–81 ✗
Louisville @ SMU -1.0 163.1 49% 85–95 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Massachusetts -4.7 160.2 27% 86–77 ✓
TCU @ UCF +2.3 149.7 66% 71–82 ✓
Kent State @ Bowling Green +3.9 147.0 63% 78–71 ✗
Ball State @ Ohio +8.6 137.4 80% 57–69 ✓
Akron @ Western Michigan -11.6 157.9 18% 90–73 ✓
George Washington @ VCU +7.2 155.0 82% 75–89 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Miami +8.1 149.6 79% 66–67 ✓
UCLA @ Michigan State +7.0 143.0 82% 59–82 ✓
Wisconsin @ Ohio State +1.9 157.5 64% 69–86 ✓
Fresno State @ Wyoming +5.3 144.5 73% 82–92 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ UT Martin +4.3 133.7 67% 56–53 ✗
Nebraska @ Iowa +0.2 136.3 60% 52–57 ✓
Baylor @ Kansas State -2.8 156.5 39% 74–90 ✗
Air Force @ New Mexico +27.9 143.5 91% 61–98 ✓
Georgia @ Kentucky +6.0 162.2 69% 86–78 ✗
LSU @ Texas +8.0 152.9 82% 85–88 ✓
Nevada @ San José State -11.6 143.1 19% 71–87 ✗
Grand Canyon @ San Diego State +7.1 139.3 79% 73–63 ✗
Minnesota @ Oregon +1.4 135.1 62% 61–44 ✗
Texas Tech @ Arizona State -6.1 147.3 30% 67–72 ✗
Rutgers @ Penn State +5.1 147.9 72% 85–72 ✗
Lafayette @ Holy Cross +2.1 132.9 59% 86–83 ✗
VMI @ Wofford +12.7 153.6 85% 76–82 ✓
Butler @ Georgetown +2.7 145.8 67% 93–89 ✗
Cleveland State @ Youngstown State +10.1 154.5 85% 82–106 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Furman -0.3 142.7 47% 78–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.