I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–6 on winners spread MAE 6.9 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Syracuse @ Duke +18.4 141.8 90% 64–101 ✓
Wagner @ Long Island University +9.4 137.7 80% 65–83 ✓
Howard @ Delaware State -11.5 130.8 15% 91–59 ✓
Morgan State @ North Carolina Central +3.4 143.2 68% 76–80 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama State +15.0 139.1 89% 55–92 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State -5.2 148.6 30% 86–91 ✗
Grambling @ Prairie View A&M -1.7 145.1 41% 63–68 ✗
Norfolk State @ Maryland Eastern Shore -1.0 131.5 38% 70–66 ✓
South Alabama @ Marshall +3.5 147.2 61% 80–84 ✓
Lamar @ UT Rio Grande Valley +6.2 139.3 78% 65–70 ✓
New Orleans @ Incarnate Word +0.2 153.3 56% 78–64 ✗
McNeese @ Northwestern State -12.5 136.1 17% 75–64 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State +3.7 134.4 66% 62–65 ✓
Florida A&M @ Alcorn State +0.4 139.6 50% 86–78 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama A&M +1.9 142.2 57% 70–82 ✓
Southern @ Texas Southern -0.3 154.1 45% 73–74 ✗
Drexel @ Stony Brook +2.9 133.0 59% 69–72 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -4.0 135.7 32% 78–68 ✓
Nicholls @ Houston Christian +0.1 138.4 52% 68–72 ✓
Houston @ Iowa State +5.7 134.3 74% 67–70 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Charleston Southern +15.1 154.2 88% 66–75 ✓
Boston College @ Florida State +9.1 140.4 83% 72–80 ✓
Michigan @ Purdue -1.5 152.4 44% 91–80 ✓
Villanova @ Xavier -4.2 147.5 29% 92–89 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Buffalo +9.9 141.8 84% 72–70 ✗
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan +2.6 142.5 53% 54–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.