Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
20–12 on winners spread MAE 9.3 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State +7.9 146.1 80% 67–88 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State +0.3 137.5 62% 50–71 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack +3.0 128.7 64% 57–55 ✗
Purdue @ Michigan -0.6 145.3 49% 68–86 ✗
East Carolina @ UAB +3.6 153.3 65% 77–94 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Valley +4.2 133.2 69% 55–68 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego +12.4 140.3 87% 51–69 ✓
Arizona @ Texas Tech +2.2 156.3 66% 86–80 ✗
Clemson @ Louisville +0.9 133.1 62% 73–76 ✓
UConn @ Creighton -0.6 141.8 51% 62–71 ✗
Boise State @ New Mexico +1.5 140.5 60% 72–69 ✗
Kentucky @ Alabama +7.9 177.3 74% 70–99 ✓
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon +6.2 141.9 78% 66–75 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +11.5 156.2 85% 78–96 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State -0.3 145.4 62% 72–83 ✗
Maine @ Bryant +5.2 145.4 75% 59–79 ✓
Princeton @ Yale +9.7 145.5 83% 57–59 ✓
Tennessee @ Auburn +4.6 138.3 59% 70–65 ✗
Wisconsin @ Michigan State +4.3 140.9 64% 77–74 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +0.3 145.1 56% 65–66 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ VCU +9.7 137.8 83% 55–62 ✓
Dartmouth @ Cornell +4.3 154.5 74% 71–87 ✓
Tulane @ Memphis +10.5 148.2 85% 77–78 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Mason +0.8 135.1 56% 64–74 ✓
Michigan @ Maryland +5.6 142.6 71% 81–80 ✗
Alabama @ Florida +7.0 182.0 64% 82–104 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +4.2 136.4 69% 66–56 ✗
Boise State @ Colorado State -0.3 136.9 57% 56–69 ✗
Arizona @ Houston +7.2 130.3 76% 64–72 ✓
Creighton @ St. John's +8.2 144.0 83% 66–82 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +0.6 137.6 52% 63–49 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Akron +3.8 156.5 71% 74–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.