Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–11 on winners spread MAE 11.8 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee @ Missouri -14.4 146.5 16% 72–67 ✓
Syracuse @ NC State +5.8 149.0 73% 87–83 ✗
Boston College @ Florida State +3.2 151.2 68% 76–84 ✓
UCF @ West Virginia -5.0 142.8 32% 67–77 ✗
Iowa @ Michigan State +8.4 148.6 77% 78–71 ✗
Arkansas @ Texas A&M +10.7 148.5 84% 78–71 ✗
Fordham @ Davidson +8.2 139.1 81% 53–68 ✓
Saint Louis @ Duquesne +10.0 146.8 84% 66–81 ✓
VCU @ Massachusetts +1.7 141.3 60% 52–74 ✓
Akron @ Toledo +0.4 146.9 50% 64–72 ✓
Kent State @ Ohio +1.5 150.6 60% 57–63 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan -1.4 137.6 40% 58–77 ✗
Bowling Green @ Central Michigan +1.1 138.7 60% 60–62 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo -0.7 142.4 48% 69–78 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Morehead State +13.3 141.2 86% 80–73 ✗
Ball State @ Northern Illinois +0.9 144.1 56% 70–63 ✗
UConn @ Creighton +1.8 149.1 62% 66–85 ✓
Baylor @ BYU +3.1 157.2 70% 71–78 ✓
San Diego State @ Utah State +1.4 143.3 60% 63–68 ✓
TCU @ Texas Tech +4.1 148.4 72% 81–82 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest +5.5 142.3 76% 58–91 ✓
Maryland @ Wisconsin +6.2 134.2 73% 70–74 ✓
San José State @ Boise State +15.6 142.8 88% 50–82 ✓
San Francisco @ Saint Mary's +7.9 137.2 73% 66–70 ✓
Wyoming @ Nevada +12.7 145.5 87% 58–76 ✓
Lehigh @ Army -0.1 131.2 37% 85–54 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro +0.9 142.6 60% 65–71 ✓
Illinois @ Penn State -6.3 156.7 33% 89–90 ✗
Presbyterian @ Winthrop +10.5 148.3 85% 78–55 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ La Salle -7.0 148.2 29% 59–72 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.