What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–5 on winners spread MAE 6.9 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Virginia @ Virginia Tech +3.1 130.5 53% 41–75 ✓
Lamar @ SE Louisiana +0.1 146.6 53% 77–72 ✗
South Carolina State @ Howard +4.5 150.4 71% 75–68 ✗
Morgan State @ Delaware State +4.9 142.9 68% 58–80 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Incarnate Word +1.2 144.2 58% 76–72 ✗
Nicholls @ New Orleans -4.1 151.4 31% 89–77 ✓
William & Mary @ Charleston +13.4 147.5 87% 57–65 ✓
Coppin State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +4.5 125.1 73% 67–75 ✓
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +10.4 136.9 85% 61–72 ✓
Southern @ Texas Southern -0.4 137.0 52% 56–68 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama State +14.6 128.9 88% 46–61 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama A&M +2.9 152.9 66% 67–75 ✓
Florida A&M @ Alcorn State +7.8 139.8 79% 68–79 ✓
Grambling @ Prairie View A&M +0.9 134.6 54% 83–74 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State +5.1 143.6 73% 60–61 ✓
Iowa State @ Houston +6.7 133.4 75% 65–73 ✓
Kansas State @ Texas +6.8 141.5 78% 56–62 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Norfolk State +3.0 135.8 67% 74–80 ✓
Butler @ Villanova +6.5 143.0 77% 62–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.