Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–7 on winners spread MAE 8.0 31 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wake Forest @ Duke +21.3 143.6 91% 60–93 ✓
Austin Peay @ North Alabama +12.4 149.3 86% 64–90 ✓
Queens University @ Florida Gulf Coast +6.0 148.5 74% 71–65 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville +2.1 145.6 61% 67–78 ✓
Southern @ Florida A&M -2.9 139.9 40% 73–70 ✓
Grambling @ Bethune-Cookman +5.6 134.3 72% 71–78 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State -0.4 134.7 39% 75–59 ✓
McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin -11.2 136.6 17% 95–64 ✓
Howard @ South Carolina State +10.3 152.1 85% 69–79 ✓
Norfolk State @ North Carolina Central -5.4 149.0 31% 87–91 ✗
Delaware State @ Morgan State -0.3 159.5 52% 81–87 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State +2.1 132.2 63% 57–73 ✓
SE Louisiana @ UT Rio Grande Valley +0.0 149.4 49% 76–77 ✓
Houston Christian @ East Texas A&M -2.3 132.5 43% 59–63 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Lipscomb +19.7 145.0 91% 66–84 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Coppin State +1.1 134.6 63% 72–59 ✗
New Orleans @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +13.3 145.5 88% 62–95 ✓
Nicholls @ Lamar +1.0 140.6 59% 53–65 ✓
Kansas @ Houston +11.9 132.9 86% 59–65 ✓
Wichita State @ North Texas +10.1 126.9 80% 66–68 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Jackson State +10.6 147.9 87% 74–88 ✓
UCLA @ Northwestern +0.8 134.2 53% 73–69 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Idaho State +5.6 140.7 75% 82–79 ✗
Idaho @ Montana State +6.3 146.0 77% 60–75 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Weber State -5.6 148.8 24% 68–63 ✓
Sacramento State @ Portland State +10.7 133.5 86% 56–59 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana +10.0 148.0 85% 72–83 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Southern Miss +0.0 139.6 57% 63–66 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Maine +4.2 147.6 73% 70–71 ✓
New Hampshire @ Bryant +15.5 149.0 89% 56–90 ✓
Georgia @ South Carolina -2.3 139.4 44% 73–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.