Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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4–1 on winners spread MAE 10.4 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida International @ Miami +22.0 156.5 90% 80–86 ✓
Villanova @ Pennsylvania +2.7 139.4 71% 72–76 ✓
Siena @ American University — — — 58–78 —
The Citadel @ Presbyterian — — — 64–71 —
Hampton @ Norfolk State — — — 68–75 —
Central Michigan @ Florida State — — — 67–94 —
North Florida @ South Carolina State — — — 77–87 —
Stony Brook @ Duquesne — — — 63–85 —
East Tennessee State @ Butler — — — 47–81 —
Quinnipiac @ Massachusetts — — — 81–102 —
Florida Gulf Coast @ Pittsburgh — — — 74–86 —
VMI @ South Carolina — — — 64–74 —
Stephen F. Austin @ Northwestern State — — — 96–70 —
Western Carolina @ Middle Tennessee — — — 66–64 —
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Central Arkansas — — — 85–83 —
Southern @ Arizona — — — 59–97 —
Stetson @ Houston — — — 48–79 —
Old Dominion @ Arkansas — — — 77–86 —
SIU Edwardsville @ Missouri — — — 50–68 —
South Dakota State @ Kansas State — — — 68–91 —
Oral Roberts @ Missouri State — — — 69–84 —
Rider @ Nebraska — — — 50–64 —
Xavier @ Purdue — — — 71–83 —
UC Santa Barbara @ UTEP — — — 76–89 —
Cal State Bakersfield @ California +7.0 140.9 83% 63–83 ✓
Long Island University @ Pepperdine — — — 53–88 —
North Dakota State @ UC Davis -2.0 139.9 38% 53–68 ✗
Wisconsin @ Providence — — — 59–72 —
Wofford @ Tennessee — — — 61–82 —
Bucknell @ La Salle +7.3 134.7 76% 57–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.