I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–3 on winners spread MAE 8.9 27 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Harvard @ Kansas +18.7 139.7 90% 54–68 ✓
Wright State @ Miami (OH) +0.0 153.2 48% 88–80 ✗
NJIT @ South Florida +9.5 132.6 81% 73–92 ✓
Louisville @ NC State +20.4 144.9 91% 64–76 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Saint Joseph's +7.1 140.9 74% 66–83 ✓
Marist @ Rider +6.8 132.2 75% 71–77 ✓
Queens University @ Fairleigh Dickinson -3.0 154.5 34% 82–73 ✓
Yale @ Monmouth -12.2 139.9 15% 76–44 ✓
Western Kentucky @ South Carolina +0.0 137.6 48% 58–65 ✓
New Mexico State @ North Carolina A&T -8.0 142.0 20% 85–76 ✓
Charlotte @ UAB +6.1 142.8 71% 68–76 ✓
Morgan State @ Arizona +22.8 159.9 91% 68–93 ✓
Texas Southern @ Wichita State +11.7 132.7 86% 56–65 ✓
North Texas @ UTSA -10.6 132.3 17% 78–54 ✓
Butler @ Creighton +3.2 138.8 64% 56–78 ✓
Illinois @ Missouri -5.3 154.7 32% 71–93 ✗
Weber State @ BYU +8.3 141.3 80% 57–63 ✓
George Washington @ Washington State +6.8 140.5 74% 64–66 ✓
Hartford @ San Francisco +22.8 139.7 91% 53–85 ✓
Kent State @ UTEP -6.9 136.9 22% 47–46 ✓
Portland State @ California Baptist +6.2 141.7 73% 74–72 ✗
Southern Miss @ UNLV +3.4 143.3 61% 63–74 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Stanford +5.3 131.5 71% 62–75 ✓
Pepperdine @ Hawai'i +4.3 142.5 71% 70–76 ✓
Coppin State @ George Mason +9.4 153.2 81% 53–91 ✓
Iona @ Seattle U -6.2 143.7 26% 83–72 ✓
Bucknell @ Rutgers +17.4 132.2 89% 50–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.