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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.9
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kennesaw State
@
Indiana
|
+15.4 | 142.0 | 88% | 55–69 | ✓ |
SMU
@
Utah State
|
+13.2 | 148.4 | 87% | 77–74 | ✗ |
George Washington
@
Pepperdine
|
+2.0 | 148.9 | 58% | 70–81 | ✓ |
Washington State
@
Hawai'i
|
+1.9 | 132.2 | 58% | 51–62 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.