Pepperdine
Waves
81
–
70
FINAL
Neutral
Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic
George Washington
Revolutionaries
Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | PEPP -167 GW +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | PEPP -3.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -1.6 (+9.4) | 150.4 (+0.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -0.1 (+11.1) | 149.6 (+1.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -2.0 (+9.0) | 148.9 (+2.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -1.9 (+9.1) | 150.0 (+1.0) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-6 |
| Away | 0-12 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#118) | -0.6 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#200) | -0.83 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#164) | -0.94 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#214) | 0.424 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.