Hawai'i
Rainbow Warriors
62
–
51
FINAL
Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic
Washington State
Cougars
Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | HAW +115 WSU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +11 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -0.7 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -2.2 (+8.8) | 130.5 (-17.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -0.8 (+11.8) | 128.2 (-15.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -1.9 (+9.1) | 132.2 (-19.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -1.1 (+9.9) | 133.3 (-20.3) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.0 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#128) | 8.0 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#170) | -0.02 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#131) | 0.36 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#219) | 0.509 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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