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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–0 on winners
spread MAE 6.6
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-2.4 | 144.7 | 39% | 85–67 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.3 | 149.4 | 30% | 76–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.8 | 147.4 | 87% | 65–80 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.3 | 142.2 | 29% | 82–73 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.