Washington State
Cougars
73
–
82
FINAL
Neutral
Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic
Utah State
Aggies
Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | WSU +145 USU -172 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +9 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | USU -5.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -5.3 (-3.7) | 142.2 (+12.8) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -2.8 (-6.2) | 140.5 (+14.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -3.6 (-5.4) | 142.7 (+12.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -4.6 (-4.4) | 143.2 (+11.8) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#71) | 12.1 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#192) | 2.00 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#163) | 3.11 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#171) | 0.626 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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