Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -1200 DEP +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +15 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -18.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -13.7 (+1.3) | 148.3 (-3.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -13.1 (+1.9) | 150.1 (-5.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -12.8 (+2.2) | 147.4 (-2.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -13.4 (+1.6) | 148.1 (-3.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CREI 85 – 81 DEP |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CREI 75 – 65 DEP |
| Jan 22, 2025 | CREI 73 – 49 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#24) | -1.2 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#89) | 0.38 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#86) | 0.45 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#55) | 0.551 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.8% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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