George Washington
Revolutionaries
67
–
85
FINAL
Neutral
Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic
Seattle U
Redhawks
Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | GW +140 SEA -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +18 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -2.1 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -2.6 (-15.4) | 144.7 (+7.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -3.8 (-14.2) | 144.8 (+7.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -2.4 (-15.6) | 144.7 (+7.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -2.7 (-15.3) | 145.3 (+6.7) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#194) | 0.8 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#271) | 0.79 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#259) | 0.81 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#320) | 0.538 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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