We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–8 on winners spread MAE 7.2 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Illinois @ Michigan +7.3 150.3 77% 76–53 ✗
Auburn @ Alabama +11.8 161.9 87% 58–70 ✓
Texas @ Iowa State -10.8 142.0 16% 81–67 ✓
TCU @ Texas Tech +11.6 137.2 86% 49–69 ✓
Merrimack @ Wagner +4.9 131.7 71% 67–74 ✓
Fresno State @ Boise State +14.1 137.7 89% 67–64 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State +8.3 144.6 81% 104–108 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +0.1 148.0 51% 69–70 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State +15.3 153.9 89% 94–92 ✗
Tulsa @ UCF +3.1 130.8 67% 69–73 ✓
Xavier @ Georgetown -0.5 142.4 51% 66–72 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State +9.7 149.3 86% 65–100 ✓
Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois -3.2 133.1 37% 73–63 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green +4.8 147.1 74% 84–79 ✗
Youngstown State @ Oakland +1.4 154.4 59% 83–87 ✓
Indiana @ Michigan State +1.4 141.4 60% 58–64 ✓
Duke @ Georgia Tech +4.3 148.6 70% 77–81 ✓
Vanderbilt @ LSU +10.9 156.9 86% 68–83 ✓
Wisconsin @ Purdue +4.3 130.5 70% 69–73 ✓
Marquette @ DePaul -2.4 135.3 39% 77–71 ✓
Memphis @ South Florida -6.8 137.5 26% 73–52 ✓
Kentucky @ Ole Miss +3.1 132.8 66% 62–70 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ La Salle +0.2 152.7 52% 72–66 ✗
Fordham @ George Washington +5.9 129.5 72% 49–53 ✓
Merrimack @ Wagner +5.6 133.1 73% 59–64 ✓
Clemson @ Syracuse +1.4 135.6 56% 54–64 ✓
Wichita State @ Tulane -4.2 135.1 31% 78–70 ✓
UConn @ Seton Hall +0.6 134.8 53% 69–58 ✗
Missouri @ Florida +5.4 142.6 71% 72–70 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.