But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–12 on winners spread MAE 11.3 27 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee @ Florida -4.4 137.3 31% 49–75 ✗
Maryland @ Michigan +10.2 144.8 85% 63–87 ✓
South Carolina @ Missouri +7.9 140.5 79% 70–81 ✓
Radford @ Campbell +0.5 131.1 51% 97–91 ✗
USC @ Oregon State -12.7 146.2 15% 56–58 ✗
Butler @ DePaul +3.2 137.0 65% 67–53 ✗
Miami @ Syracuse +7.4 142.5 78% 57–83 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee State +0.8 138.4 55% 63–59 ✗
Winthrop @ Presbyterian -13.7 142.1 14% 72–58 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb +3.4 147.4 66% 79–75 ✗
Central Michigan @ Toledo +16.2 159.8 90% 72–89 ✓
Ball State @ Miami (OH) -2.3 139.7 42% 71–81 ✗
Akron @ Bowling Green +9.4 150.2 82% 69–57 ✗
Penn State @ Illinois +10.9 157.0 84% 65–79 ✓
Seton Hall @ Villanova +8.2 147.7 82% 74–76 ✓
Alabama @ LSU +3.1 160.3 65% 105–75 ✗
San Diego @ Loyola Marymount +10.9 130.9 86% 69–72 ✓
Duke @ Pittsburgh +6.3 141.4 75% 73–79 ✓
Colorado State @ Utah State +4.7 136.6 69% 64–83 ✓
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State +2.8 138.2 63% 64–46 ✗
Fordham @ Davidson +18.8 131.3 90% 58–73 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina +1.0 149.2 54% 59–48 ✗
Winthrop @ Presbyterian -13.3 140.7 14% 78–66 ✓
Mercer @ The Citadel -2.0 160.3 43% 83–63 ✓
VCU @ St. Bonaventure +2.1 135.3 64% 54–70 ✓
Rhode Island @ Duquesne -6.6 135.3 28% 69–71 ✗
High Point @ Longwood +1.7 131.6 60% 54–67 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.