Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
18–12 on winners spread MAE 12.0 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Illinois @ Michigan State -8.7 144.1 25% 72–81 ✗
West Virginia @ TCU -6.3 149.6 30% 74–66 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech +3.7 142.9 64% 69–53 ✗
High Point @ Campbell +3.6 137.4 70% 48–68 ✓
Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan -11.6 147.5 17% 82–69 ✓
Notre Dame @ Louisville +3.6 140.9 68% 57–69 ✓
LSU @ Georgia -3.2 163.1 39% 78–91 ✗
Florida @ Auburn +0.1 154.0 44% 74–57 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Prairie View A&M +18.7 138.8 90% 56–72 ✓
Iowa State @ Baylor +25.4 151.1 91% 72–77 ✓
St. John's @ Villanova +10.0 157.3 84% 58–81 ✓
Penn State @ Nebraska -4.2 140.1 34% 86–83 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Texas Southern +30.8 148.0 91% 45–82 ✓
Oklahoma @ Kansas State -11.3 134.5 18% 57–62 ✗
Kansas @ Texas +2.9 140.9 71% 72–75 ✓
Ole Miss @ Missouri +4.7 138.6 71% 60–53 ✗
Washington @ Arizona State +7.0 150.0 76% 64–97 ✓
UConn @ Georgetown -1.3 138.9 47% 70–57 ✓
Kent State @ Ball State -5.1 144.2 32% 71–90 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Southern +3.3 133.0 63% 57–73 ✓
Clemson @ Wake Forest -5.3 132.2 31% 60–39 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Davidson +1.6 135.2 57% 56–53 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ North Carolina Central +2.9 143.4 51% 79–63 ✗
Alabama State @ Alcorn State +4.9 135.2 81% 59–68 ✓
Delaware State @ Norfolk State +17.4 152.0 90% 55–86 ✓
George Washington @ George Mason +6.7 147.2 77% 58–63 ✓
Hampton @ Longwood +7.0 135.6 76% 74–68 ✗
New Mexico @ Air Force +0.9 129.8 56% 55–62 ✓
Dayton @ Saint Joseph's -7.5 149.3 27% 84–97 ✗
NC State @ Virginia +9.5 131.1 80% 68–61 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.