I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–5 on winners spread MAE 7.6 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgetown @ UConn +12.6 138.5 87% 51–67 ✓
Southern @ Florida A&M -1.5 143.5 47% 73–70 ✓
UCLA @ Michigan State +5.0 139.1 72% 88–84 ✗
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +7.4 132.1 73% 65–67 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine +4.6 151.8 71% 78–93 ✓
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central +2.8 132.6 70% 53–59 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +5.7 146.4 71% 66–79 ✓
Clemson @ Duke +16.1 133.9 87% 61–73 ✓
Kansas @ Houston +5.4 134.9 78% 47–69 ✓
Oklahoma @ Arkansas +7.9 163.5 64% 79–82 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +5.6 140.2 73% 72–86 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +4.0 155.1 63% 63–78 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State +0.5 148.9 48% 62–64 ✓
Cornell @ Yale +10.8 153.2 75% 76–88 ✓
Vermont @ UMBC +4.8 138.5 70% 59–74 ✓
Wisconsin @ Michigan +12.5 159.2 85% 65–68 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Florida +6.1 158.5 69% 91–74 ✗
Dayton @ Saint Louis +7.0 146.0 74% 70–69 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Howard +12.2 140.4 86% 63–70 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Harvard -0.1 131.7 46% 62–60 ✓
Charlotte @ South Florida +10.9 151.0 86% 64–86 ✓
Ole Miss @ Arkansas +11.0 158.8 72% 90–93 ✓
Purdue @ UCLA -3.2 141.9 36% 73–66 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ VCU +8.4 142.1 82% 64–77 ✓
Tulsa @ Wichita State -0.5 150.8 44% 68–81 ✗
San Diego State @ Utah State +2.7 146.9 64% 62–73 ✓
Houston @ Arizona +4.9 139.8 69% 74–79 ✓
UConn @ St. John's +1.0 139.7 59% 52–72 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Southern +0.8 153.9 56% 72–66 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.