The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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23–11 on winners spread MAE 10.4 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
DePaul @ LSU +9.2 152.0 82% 63–96 ✓
Little Rock @ Southern Illinois +15.4 141.5 86% 65–74 ✓
Milwaukee @ Akron +21.1 158.6 89% 81–105 ✓
UAlbany @ Fordham +3.3 128.8 64% 68–88 ✓
Sacramento State @ Pacific +15.9 139.8 87% 54–68 ✓
California Baptist @ Oregon State -5.4 138.6 26% 75–69 ✓
Le Moyne @ Ball State -6.5 132.7 27% 85–96 ✗
Merrimack @ La Salle +1.7 132.7 50% 66–60 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Princeton +1.8 149.1 61% 60–58 ✗
Siena @ Maine -7.2 124.1 28% 64–60 ✓
App State @ UNC Asheville +0.2 134.7 57% 55–67 ✓
South Alabama @ UTSA +0.6 135.8 51% 82–58 ✗
Tennessee State @ Chattanooga +0.2 142.8 49% 70–64 ✗
Old Dominion @ William & Mary +14.7 150.9 86% 75–88 ✓
Stetson @ Robert Morris +11.1 141.0 85% 62–80 ✓
New Hampshire @ Fairfield +13.5 138.6 85% 68–72 ✓
Stonehill @ Quinnipiac +12.0 144.9 83% 62–76 ✓
Yale @ Vermont -3.9 153.4 41% 77–74 ✓
Cornell @ Bucknell +0.7 152.5 49% 101–72 ✗
Monmouth @ Lafayette -3.0 141.7 36% 88–74 ✓
Hofstra @ Pennsylvania +0.7 148.6 55% 77–60 ✗
Wyoming @ Texas Tech +7.9 146.2 75% 72–76 ✓
Mercyhurst @ West Virginia +10.8 130.5 82% 38–70 ✓
Fordham @ Colgate +4.1 134.2 61% 62–72 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Coastal Carolina +7.9 139.0 80% 60–67 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Florida Atlantic +7.6 147.3 75% 70–65 ✗
Belmont @ Charleston +0.0 141.9 48% 96–73 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ North Texas +8.2 136.0 78% 69–72 ✓
Longwood @ American University +4.3 147.6 68% 66–92 ✓
Presbyterian @ The Citadel -4.4 125.7 39% 69–41 ✓
UC Irvine @ San José State +2.4 131.7 58% 72–63 ✗
San Diego @ Long Beach State +1.1 143.9 59% 72–76 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Fresno State +8.8 141.7 81% 76–71 ✗
Coppin State @ Loyola Maryland +13.7 139.6 88% 84–95 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.