Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–11 on winners spread MAE 9.1 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State +8.6 147.2 82% 67–88 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State +0.8 139.4 61% 50–71 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack +3.1 129.6 61% 57–55 ✗
Purdue @ Michigan -0.4 144.7 49% 68–86 ✗
East Carolina @ UAB +2.9 155.4 65% 77–94 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Valley +3.2 134.4 67% 55–68 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego +13.6 137.3 88% 51–69 ✓
Arizona @ Texas Tech +2.8 152.5 61% 86–80 ✗
Clemson @ Louisville +0.4 135.9 60% 73–76 ✓
UConn @ Creighton -0.8 141.2 48% 62–71 ✗
Boise State @ New Mexico +1.1 141.8 58% 72–69 ✗
Kentucky @ Alabama +8.1 173.4 72% 70–99 ✓
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon +6.0 142.2 74% 66–75 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +11.4 156.3 85% 78–96 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State +0.3 142.3 59% 72–83 ✓
Maine @ Bryant +5.3 145.4 75% 59–79 ✓
Princeton @ Yale +9.5 145.2 84% 57–59 ✓
Tennessee @ Auburn +4.6 141.8 59% 70–65 ✗
Wisconsin @ Michigan State +3.0 141.9 62% 77–74 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +0.5 142.8 55% 65–66 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ VCU +9.5 136.4 84% 55–62 ✓
Dartmouth @ Cornell +4.1 155.8 71% 71–87 ✓
Tulane @ Memphis +9.8 148.8 85% 77–78 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Mason +1.7 133.4 59% 64–74 ✓
Michigan @ Maryland +5.5 141.3 73% 81–80 ✗
Alabama @ Florida +8.9 174.3 68% 82–104 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +3.8 131.2 66% 66–56 ✗
Boise State @ Colorado State -0.1 135.5 52% 56–69 ✗
Arizona @ Houston +6.8 132.3 77% 64–72 ✓
Creighton @ St. John's +8.8 146.5 83% 66–82 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +0.2 136.2 55% 63–49 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Akron +3.0 158.6 66% 74–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.